The Republican Party’s only genuine presidential foreign policy expert, Presidential Candidate Andy Martin forecasts the new Republican president in 2013 will end the Israel/Palestine conflict with a “Nixon in China” moment
ANDY MARTIN /2012
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Andy Martin predicts a Middle East “Nixon in China” moment for a new Republican president in 2013
Martin says that whichever Republican is elected in 2012 will recognize a Palestinian state and end the stalemate
Martin brings “good news” to the People of Palestine and Israel
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE:
(NEW YORK) (September 24, 2011) This column brings good news for the people of Israel and the people of Palestine. A new Republican president will end the endless conflict in 2013. I am openly predicting a “Nixon in China” moment for the Middle East.
With all due respect to former Governor Jon Huntsman, who claims foreign policy experience based on “having lived overseas four times,” living abroad doesn’t make you an expert. Only being involved in the nitty gritty of the real world, as I have been for decades, makes you an expert on what to do and how to do it.
The Palestinian/Israel confrontation is not insoluble, as some believe, and it will not grind on much longer, as many expect.
I can state without fear of contradiction that the vast majority of the Israeli people want peace, and the vast majority of Palestinians want peace. So peace is not the issue. Internal Israeli politics and US campaign politics are the major stumbling blocks to peace. They are not insurmountable.
Now, obviously, I am not the front-runner for the Republican party’s presidential nomination. But I will be doing my darnedest to get on the national ticket some way, somehow. Governors Perry and Romney, or whoever grabs the gold ring, will need my experience.
First, a little background. A couple of years ago a close friend died. Fred Howard was a refugee from Nazi Germany. You can even see a movie where Fred is featured, “The Ritchie Boys.” (link below) Despite the horrors of the Holocaust, Fred never lost his love for Germany or German culture. Fred was about forgiveness, reconciliation and understanding. Fred had an overwhelming and abiding love for Israel, though his views were leftist. I was his token Republican.
Through the lens of Fred’s experience and great wealth I came to have a unique and expanded insight into Israel and Palestine. Fred’s fortune—he left over $50 million for Jewish causes—was directed at establishing peace between Israelis and Palestinians. He gave generously to Givat Haviva and other pro-reconciliation organizations (link below).
I would never do anything to dishonor Fred’s goals and Fred’s love for Israel. His great spirit is with me always.
I also know that Barack Obama—despite the right-wing hissy fits that Obama is anti-Israel–is not anti-Israel. The Middle East does not begin to establish why Obama is a failure as a world leader. The best explanation I have seen for Obama’s failures comes from the editor of an obscure Illinois political poop sheet (www.CapitolFax.com, link below) that, like me, knew Obama before he was “Obama” and when he was only a Southside politician from Chicago. Rich Miller had a column in Friday’s Chicago Sun-Times that explains the essence of Obama’s failure as a national leader (link below).
In fact, I will go one step further. As someone who has studied Obama and virtually lived in his clothes for the past seven years, I could tell “President” Obama how to get reelected. I don’t expect him to call me, and I won’t volunteer his path to reelection, but it’s there. Obama just can’t see it. And so it will be left to Republicans to solve the Israel/Palestine confrontation in 2013.
I call 2013 a potential “Nixon in China” moment because it took President Nixon, who had a history of opposition to China, to open the door to China. Here’s why.
I. In reality, the U. S. can no longer protect Israel
Despite all of the fund raising hoopla in both parties about the “friendship” between Israel and the United States, the US can no longer defend Israel. In 1973, President Nixon saved Israel when he ordered “everything that could fly” to resupply Israel in the midst of the 1973 war (link below). Today, the US could probably not mount such a vast resupply operation; our resources are shrinking daily and we lack the capacity to do what Nixon did.
Israel has lost all of its regional allies. Israel cannot be secure without the support of Egypt and Turkey. These nations are regional leaders and regional powers. This week Turkey denounced Israel at the UN (link below). Egyptian public opinion is strongly against Israel. The future is ominous.
The US cannot neutralize the Iranian threat to world peace without the strong support of our regional allies. But our allies will not lift a finger to help us as long as their domestic public opinion is trending anti-American. We need to change that dynamic. Only a Republican can.
You won’t see it published in any US newspaper but even President Bill Clinton’s ultra-sensitive antennas have criticized the Israeli government (link below to Haaretz.com). So time is not on Israel’s side.
The contours of a Palestinian/Israeli solution have been known for years. Israeli leaders who are free to speak the truth know that (Olmert link below). Pro-Israel media admit that as well (NYT link below). So what are we waiting for? (Answer: we are waiting for a Republican leader to do a “Nixon in China” and make peace.)
II. There is a “new” Palestine
Friday there was a full-color, full-page ad in the New York Times. On behalf of the people of Palestine. Americans who are locked in a retrospective view of the Palestinian people are living in the past. This is “not your grandfather’s PLO.” History is of little help in dealing with the future. The world community, national leaders, diplomats, have seen the current Palestinian leadership run circles around the Israelis. Take a look at that full-color, full-page Palestinian ad if you have access to the printed Times.
Palestinian President Abbas does not wear a pistol, Arafat-style. His western dress is as conservative as that of any national leader. There are no keffiyehs in the Palestinian delegation. More importantly, only Abbas can defeat Hamas and stop Iranian expansionism. The US can’t defeat Hamas, the Israelis can’t defeat Hamas. Only Palestinians can regain control of their polity.
Israel can still win a shooing war against Palestinians. But Israelis can no longer win a public relations war; in fact they are losing the public relations war. And the outcome of their conflict will be determined and defined by public relations and politics, not bullets.
III. Without a Palestinian state, Israel will not survive
If political fund-raiser speeches could change the world or define the world what an easy world it would be. Hot-air and half-truths could rage against reality and never lose. But the real world is a very different place. My experience comes out of the real world, not the fantasy island of politics.
I’ve met Israeli government officials, kibbutz leaders, military people and, yes, even clandestine operatives. No other Republican actually knows Israel the way I do. While Republicans may profess to support Israel few of them have ever met Israelis outside the confines of pro-government handlers and structured itineraries. I have. My father helped train the original Israeli militia units.
Seven years ago I opposed the invasion of Iraq. Why? I predicted that invading Iraq would empower Iran (it did). I also predicted invading Iraq would eventually endanger Israel (it has, see empowering Iran). So I have a real world track record of understanding foreign policy, not a comic book collage of talking points for campaign contributors. I first went to the Middle East Forty years ago; when did Perry and Romney arrive on the scene?
Today we have Barack Obama in his full “St. Augustine” mode (I’m for peace, God, “but not quite yet.”) Or Governor Perry, who seems to have founded his own one-man crusade, “Christians for Israel.” Or Michele Bachmann, who is not Jewish but allows the false impression to propagate that she is Jewish in the hopes of raising campaign cash (link below).
While I tease my Republican opponents I believe one of them will land in the White House in 2013. And that new president will make peace between Israel and Palestine. Based on my solid record of predicting our foreign policy future would you bet against me?
Finally, I do have one grievance against the people of Israel. So far as I am aware (and I will be delighted to stand corrected if I am mistaken) there is no public memorial or monument to President Richard Nixon in Israel. This is sad.
President Nixon was pilloried for making anti-Semitic remarks on the White House tapes. But Nixon saved the state of Israel from being overrun in 1973. He sent the planes flying full of American supplies. He turned the tide. Israelis have yet to erect any monument respecting his beneficence (no doubt because it raises the embarrassing rejoinder of why they were so unprepared for war). Israel owes President Nixon an appropriate appreciation and remembrance.
Nixon was not an anti-Semite. He made outrageous statements, but who among us has not? Nixon reflected the state-of-mind of the era in which he lived and the “locker room” atmosphere of a White House where talking trash was macho. [Full disclosure: Barack Obama regularly accuses me of being an anti-Semite, but I am not. In 2008 my friend Fred Howard offered to buy a full-page, full-color ad in the New York Times attacking anyone who would call me anti-Semitic. I told Fred we should save his money and throw a party. Nixon never had any intention of being anti-Semitic and neither have I. Obama owes me an apology.]
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ABOUT ANDY: Andy Martin’s family immigrated to Manchester, New Hampshire 100 years ago. His mom was born in Manchester. Growing up, Andy spent summers in New Hampshire. That’s why he’s New Hampshire’s “Favorite Son” presidential candidate. Today Andy is a legendary New York and Chicago-based muckraker, author, Internet columnist, talk television pioneer, radio talk show host, broadcaster and media critic. Chicago Public Radio calls Andy Martin a “boisterous Internet activist.” The Chicago Tribune calls him “Chicago’s own…political activist.” He has over forty years of background in radio and television. He is the author of “Obama: The Man Behind The Mask” [www.OrangeStatePress.com] and he produced the Internet film “Obama: The Hawaii’ Years” [www.BoycottHawaii.com]. Andy is the Executive Editor and publisher of the “Internet Powerhouse,” http://www.ContrarianCommentary.com. He comments on regional, national and international events with more than four decades of investigative and analytical experience both in the USA and around the world.
Martin has been a leading corruption fighter in Illinois and American politics and courts for over forty years. [www.AndyMartin.com] He is currently sponsoring http://www.AmericaisReadyforReform.com. See also http://www.FirstRespondersOnline.us; http://www.EnglishforAmerica.org
He holds a Juris Doctor degree from the University of Illinois College of Law and is a former adjunct professor of law at the City University of New York (LaGuardia CC, Bronx CC).
Andy’s columns are also posted at ContrarianCommentary.blogspot.com; ContrarianCommentary.wordpress.com.
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© Copyright by Andy Martin 2011 – All Rights Reserved